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TrendForce Press Center原文发布 09-22 13:38Radar 收录 09-22 15:36查看原文 ↗

TrendForce:2025年DRAM模组营收同比激增59%,挤出效应制约芯片供应并推高价格关键事件

DRAM Module Revenue Surges 59% YoY in 2025 as Crowding-Out Effect Constrains Chip Supply and Drives Prices Higher, Says TrendForce
中文摘要

TrendForce统计显示,2025年全球DRAM模组市场营收达212亿美元,同比增长59%。价格上涨,DRAM模组厂商出货集中。挤出效应制约芯片供应,并推动价格走高。

原文深度解读

本文基于 TrendForce 统计,主题为 2025 年全球 DRAM 模组市场营收变化。涉及主体包括 TrendForce、Kingston、ADATA、Ramaxel、Kimtigo、Team Group、Patriot Memory、Innodisk、Apacer、AGI,以及北美和中国 CSP、PC OEM 等。关键数字包括:2025 年全球 DRAM 模组市场营收 212 亿美元,同比增长 59%,较 2024 年 7% 的增速显著加快;前五大厂商占 77%,前九大占 81%,Kingston 占 62%;各厂商同比增速分别为 Kingston 48%、ADATA 82%、Ramaxel 153%、Kimtigo 20%、Patriot Memory 89%、Innodisk 132%、Apacer 96%、AGI 26%。与电子元器件供应链的关系在于:DRAM 芯片供应分配、DDR4 EOL、DDR5 转换、CSP 服务器 DRAM 订单增加、模组厂商库存与采购策略共同影响模组供应和价格。

  • 原文称 2025 年全球 DRAM 模组市场营收为 212 亿美元,同比增长 59%,并指出这较 2024 年 7% 的增速显著加快;增长由价格上涨和下半年 DRAM 模组厂商出货集中推动。
  • 原文将 2025 年上下半年市场条件区分:上半年部分模组厂商因关税和 DRAM 供应商 DDR4 EOL 计划而在 Q2 增加 DDR4 芯片库存,并向因关税提前采购的 PC OEM 和其他消费电子客户供货。
  • 原文称下半年北美和中国 CSP 增加服务器 DRAM 订单以支持 agentic AI 应用计算需求,这限制了 DRAM 供应商对 PC 和消费应用的分配,导致整体 DRAM 价格上涨;多数模组厂商因此下半年营收显著高于上半年。
  • 原文称模组厂商因目标市场和业务策略不同而营收增长分化,并更积极扩展工业和服务器产品线,同时因代际转换将 DDR5 作为下半年主要产品线。
  • 原文给出集中度数据:2025 年前五大全球 DRAM 模组厂商占市场总营收 77%,前九大占 81%;Kingston 以 62% 份额居首,并凭借采购规模在 2024 和 2025 年建立充足库存,2025 全年营收同比增长 48%。
  • 原文列出其他厂商表现:ADATA 同比增长 82%,Ramaxel 增长 153%,Kimtigo 增长 20%,Team Group 排名第五,Patriot Memory 增长 89%,Innodisk 增长 132%,Apacer 增长 96%,AGI 增长 26%;其中 Ramaxel 与国内 DRAM 供应商和 CSP 扩展 RDIMM 合作,Apacer 在 Q2 开始确保额外供应以应对 DDR4 EOL 和下半年供需失衡。

供应链影响

  • 由于原文称 CSP 服务器 DRAM 订单增加限制了供应商对 PC 和消费应用的分配,PC 与消费类 DRAM 模组供应可能趋紧,具体影响取决于供应商分配策略和需求持续时间。
  • 由于原文提到 DDR4 EOL 与 DDR5 成为下半年主要产品线,DDR4 相关供应可能进一步收缩,而 DDR5 模组供应和客户认证节奏可能成为供应链关注点。
  • 由于原文称模组厂商库存建立和采购规模影响其供货能力,拥有较多低成本库存或稳定芯片分配的厂商可能在下半年价格走强时更具供应弹性,但实际结果取决于库存成本、销售节奏和下游需求。
  • 由于原文称 Ramaxel 与国内 DRAM 供应商和 CSP 扩展 RDIMM 合作,中国国内 RDIMM 供应链的规模与质量可能继续受到推动,但进展取决于国内 DRAM 供应能力和 CSP 采用情况。
  • 由于原文称工业、企业服务器和边缘 AI 项目需求增长,相关模组产品线可能获得更多厂商资源投入,但供应保障和价格传导仍取决于上游 DRAM 晶圆与芯片分配。

系统解读,仅作为判断线索,不构成备货、出货、涨价或投资建议。

正文内容 · AI翻译

根据 TrendForce 统计,2025 年全球 DRAM 模组市场营收为 212 亿美元,同比强劲增长 59%。价格上涨以及下半年 DRAM 模组厂商出货集中推动了增长。这较 2024 年 7% 的增速显著加快。

2025 年上半年与下半年之间,DRAM 市场状况发生剧烈变化。2025 年初,受关税以及 DRAM 供应商 DDR4 生命周期结束(EOL)计划推动,部分模组厂商在第二季度增加了 DDR4 芯片库存。它们还向因关税而提前采购的 PC OEM 和其他消费电子客户供货。

2025 年下半年,北美和中国 CSP 增加服务器 DRAM 订单,以支持 agentic AI 应用的计算需求。这波需求激增限制了 DRAM 供应商对 PC 和消费应用的分配,导致整体 DRAM 价格上涨。随着模组出货量和价格上涨,多数模组厂商经历市场上行,许多厂商报告下半年营收显著高于上半年。

模组厂商的营收增长因其目标市场和业务策略而异。总体而言,鉴于客户需求的长期增长潜力以及客户吸收内存价格波动的能力,模组厂商在扩展工业和企服务器产品线方面变得更加积极。它们还因代际转换调整产品组合,使 DDR5 成为下半年主要产品线。

2025 年,全球前五大 DRAM 模组厂商占市场总营收的 77%,前九大占 81%。市场领导者 Kingston 维持 62% 的主导份额。凭借行业领先的采购规模,该公司在 2024 年和 2025 年建立了充足库存,使其能够在 2025 年下半年价格走强时积极向渠道市场供货。这一策略推动其全年营收同比增长 48%。

ADATA 排名第二,2025 年 DRAM 营收同比增长 82%。该公司在上一市场周期积累的低成本库存在下半年上游供应收紧和模组价格上涨时,成为盈利能力增强的关键贡献因素。ADATA 还通过与 DRAM 供应商的合作,继续获得相对稳定的芯片供应分配。未来,其战略将聚焦于扩展低容量和中容量 RDIMM 业务。

排名第三的 Ramaxel 主要专注于与 PC OEM 和 CSP 的战略合作。其 2025 年营收同比激增 153%,是榜单中增速最高的公司。在 PC 模组业务基础上,Ramaxel 进一步扩展与国内 DRAM 供应商和 CSP 的战略 RDIMM 合作,在扩大中国国内 RDIMM 供应链规模和提高质量方面发挥关键作用。

Kimtigo 排名第四,2025 年营收同比增长 20%。该公司在中国国内市场已有稳固地位,产品组合涵盖消费、工业和企业应用。随着下半年 DRAM 供应逐渐收紧,Kimtigo 也加大力度扩展其 OEM 客户群。

Team Group 在 2025 年排名第五。随着下半年 DRAM 价格快速上涨,该公司向北美渠道市场供应 DDR5 产品。

Patriot Memory 排名第六,2025 年营收同比激增 89%。其在消费、游戏、工业和边缘计算应用领域的多元化布局,使其能够在下半年 DRAM 供应短缺中获益。专注于工业市场的 Innodisk 排名第七,营收同比飙升 132%。除价格上涨外,边缘 AI 项目日益增长的势头对其增长的贡献也越来越显著。

Apacer 排名第八,2025 年 DRAM 营收同比增长 96%。该公司高度专注于工业市场,在第二季度开始确保额外供应,以在 DDR4 EOL 和下半年供需失衡恶化的情况下满足客户需求。这一策略也使 Apacer 能够将 DRAM 价格上涨转化为更强的经营业绩。

最后,AGI 排名第九,2025 年 DRAM 营收同比增长 26%。该公司主要以自有品牌服务消费零售市场,并以跨境电商作为海外扩张的主要渠道,销售覆盖日本、欧洲和美国。

According to TrendForce statistics, the global DRAM module market generated $21.2 billion in revenue in 2025, up a strong 59% YoY. Rising prices and concentrated shipments from DRAM module makers in the second half of the year helped drive growth. This marked a significant acceleration from the 7% growth recorded in 2024.

DRAM market conditions changed dramatically between the first and second halves of 2025. In early 2025, some module makers increased their inventories of DDR4 chips in Q2, spurred by tariffs and the end-of-life (EOL) plans of DRAM suppliers for DDR4. They also supplied PC OEMs and other consumer electronics customers that had pulled forward procurement in response to tariffs.

In the latter half of 2025, North American and Chinese CSPs increased server DRAM orders to support the computing needs of agentic AI applications. This demand surge limited DRAM suppliers’ allocations for PC and consumer applications, leading to higher overall DRAM prices. As shipment volumes and prices for modules increased, most module makers experienced a market upswing, with many reporting significantly higher revenues in the second half compared to the first.

Revenue growth varied among module makers depending on their target markets and business strategies. Overall, given the long-term growth potential of customer demand and customers’ ability to absorb memory price fluctuations, module makers have become more aggressive in expanding into industrial and enterprise server product lines. They also adjusted their product portfolios in response to the generational transition, making DDR5 their primary product line in the second half of the year.

The top five global DRAM module makers accounted for 77% of total market revenue in 2025, while the top nine represented 81%. Market leader Kingston maintained a dominant 62% share. Leveraging its industry-leading procurement scale, the company built ample inventory throughout 2024 and 2025, positioning it to aggressively supply the channel market as prices strengthened in the second half of 2025. This strategy helped drive full-year revenue growth of 48% YoY.

ADATA ranked second, with DRAM revenue rising 82% YoY in 2025. The company’s low-cost inventory—accumulated during the previous market cycle—became a key contributor to stronger profitability as upstream supply tightened and module prices increased in the second half. ADATA also continued to secure relatively stable chip supply allocations through partnerships with DRAM suppliers. Going forward, its strategy will focus on expanding its low- and mid-capacity RDIMM business.

Third-ranked Ramaxel focuses primarily on strategic partnerships with PC OEMs and CSPs. Its revenue surged 153% YoY in 2025, the highest growth rate among the companies in the ranking. Building on its PC module business, Ramaxel further expanded strategic RDIMM partnerships with domestic DRAM suppliers and CSPs, playing a key role in scaling up and improving the quality of China’s domestic RDIMM supply chain.

Kimtigo ranked fourth, with revenue increasing 20% YoY in 2025. The company has an established presence in China’s domestic market, with a product portfolio spanning consumer, industrial, and enterprise applications. As DRAM supply gradually tightened in the second half, Kimtigo also stepped up its efforts to expand its OEM customer base.

Team Group ranked fifth in 2025. The company supplied DDR5 products to the North American channel market as DRAM prices rose rapidly in the second half.

Patriot Memory ranked sixth, with revenue surging 89% YoY in 2025. Its diversified presence across consumer, gaming, industrial, and edge computing applications allowed it to capitalize on the DRAM supply shortage in the second half. Innodisk, which focuses on the industrial market, took seventh place, with revenue soaring 132% YoY. In addition to higher prices, growing momentum from edge AI projects provided an increasingly significant contribution to its growth.

Apacer ranked eighth, with DRAM revenue rising 96% YoY in 2025. With a strong focus on the industrial market, the company began securing additional supply in the second quarter to meet customer demand amid DDR4 EOL and the worsening supply-demand imbalance in the second half. This strategy also enabled Apacer to translate rising DRAM prices into stronger operating results.

Finally, AGI placed ninth, with DRAM revenue increasing 26% YoY in 2025. The company primarily serves the consumer retail market under its own brand and uses cross-border e-commerce as its main channel for overseas expansion, with sales spanning Japan, Europe, and the U.S.

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